Although it is very dry, and hot, right now, and the forest fire danger has been increased to extreme in the north-eastern part of the Prince George Fire Centre, Doug Lundquist, Meteorologist with Environment Canada says that doesn’t mean it is going to stay this dry all summer.
“The long-term forecast is for 80-90 percent warmer than normal temperatures,” said Lundquist. “Hotter weather can allow for more evaporation, but warmer air can also hold more water. So if we get the right storms, the weather could be warm and wet.”
The wet season in north-eastern British Columbia is generally from the latter half of May, until about July 7, said Lundquist. “We have a little more than a month to go before we start to see what the summer is really going to be like.”
“If we get a lot of rain in June, we could be talking about flooding at the end of June, instead of forest fires,” he said. A lot of the precipitation during this time comes in the form of thunderstorms, so some parts of the region might not get wet at all.
“It’s very difficult to predict. And the reliability of forecasts beyond a week or two, is very low.”